Syed Javed Hussain
We are euphoric about the latest OIC communiqué that emphasized upon just dealing with Muslims countries at international level last month. The communiqué, although, was not country specific, the obvious pointers were Iran and Syria currently under fire by the West. However, the history of OIC casts a deep shadow of gloom over high expectations regarding any tangible effect of such communiqués over the course of events taking place in the lands of Islam.
The communiqué unreservedly called far a “joint Islamic action’ in “countering foreign threats that jeopardize the security of any OIC member state in a collective manner”. This comes in the backdrop of constant threats of economic and military sanctions that Iran faces on the nuclear issue as well as proxy war of wits that the US has started against Syria on behest of Israel to destabilize the region leading to Israeli hegemony and suzerainty over surrounding Muslim states.
By adopting strongly worded resolution, the heads of the Muslim countries declared their rejection of unilateral sanctions that might be imposed against any member state. This collective call is quite relevant and timely. Already two Muslim states are under effective control of the US in the region, the other two Syria and Iran are threated with preemptive strikes, whereas flimsy excuses are being cooked on daily basis in international media to justify aggression against them.
It is quite heartening that for the first time the whole Islamic world under the ages of the OIC spoke in one voice against the highhandedness of Western powers. So blatantly, Iran is being denied its right that has been given to it in the very treaty, NPT, whose pioneer signatories itself is Iran. The IAEA under the influence of the West whose major capitals are in the grip of fanatic Christian zealots is pursuing an adventurous agenda
against Iran.
What is demanded of Iran in the name of international community is not only illegal; it is hegemonic, unethical and unprincipled by any definition of sovereignty of a nation state. All demands of the IAEA boil down to capitulation of Iran to the West on nuclear issue. In such situation, three scenarios of Iran-West nuclear tangle, none cherish-able, come forth to haunt the minds and soul of peace loving people of the world.
Firstly, Iran never accedes to any unreasonable demand o f the West and continues with the present statuesque at home and abroad. Resultantly the IAEA under the influence of Christian-Jewish lobbies refers Iran to The UNSC for possible sanctions.
There, at the UNSC, the bill of sanctions, due to one reason or the other is forestalled. The IAEA, now the UN, comes back to Iran and asks for its cooperation in the nuclear field.
The chances of the sanction-bill being vetoed are greater today then ever before. Although, the US has already initiated high intensity diplomatic activity to woo Russia and China, the success chances, however, are still marginalized.
The Jewish controlled media is working overtime to discredit Iranian President so that Iran is alienated as a bigot, extremist and dogmatic country without anything reasonable to offer to the world and with whom no country can do any business at international level. Dr Ahmedinejad’s statements in the last couple of weeks, which otherwise could have gone unnoticed as he w as repeating the same old thing that Ayatollah Khomeini had said many times in the past, were flashed in headlines news all over the world.
Secondly, in worse case scenario despite their acute economic interests in Iran, Russia and China bog down to Western pressure and the UNSC sanctions are imposed on Iran. Iran withdraws from NPT, kicks out IAEA representatives and inspectors working in Iran and draws an iron curtain on its nuclear activity.
Iran is a country with diverse economy and society and nobody should believe that a nation of 60 million can be brought down to its knees because of the UN sanctions. In the second scenario, pushed to the corner, Iran opts out for military nuclear programme, albeit secretly, then finally breaks the news to the world, proudly declaring itself, like North Korea, a nuclear state.
Then, quite in near future other kinds of negotiations are started. Iran recognizes international concern and to make the whole region nuclear- free-zone demands that Israel should also open up its nuclear programme to IAEA and declare its nuclear arsenal to the world: whereas currently it is believed Israel already have more than 300 nuclear warheads.
Israel declines and the other nations of the region are tempted to go nuclear to balance out the military might of Israel and Iran. Already nuclear Israel is a great temptation for the regional States to go nuclear. Thirdly, the Western powers as well as Israel wage a war against Iran to neutralize its so-called nuclear ambitions.
That is a distant possibility. Mired deep in Iraq and Afghanistan with oil prices sky-rocketing, Bush will not even dream of it. Twenty-five million Iraqi nation, where more than 80 per cent of the population had accorded a passive welcome to the US Army, the US is having the nightmare of its military history at the hands of a minority-group fighters. The 60 million nation of Iran, where the very name of Bush is dust in the streets of the country, the US will never dream of indulging yet another adventure in the region.
Suppose, Israel and the US recourse to aerial strikes and try of destroy the nuclear installations of Iran beyond repair. Considering the technology at hand and its use in the recent past, it is not a distant impossibility. However, the tension and hostilities they will generate will be beyond even Kelvin scale to measure and will certainly end up in eliminating Israel from the region.
To counter such eventuality the world should heed the demand of Richard Pinter, Nobel Prize laureate of Literature of 2005 and try Bush in the international court of justice on Iraq. Justice may not be served, however, we need to keep the man busy to the last of his second term.
Information
It is quite heartening that for the first time the whole Islamic world under the ages of the OIC spoke in one voice against the highhandedness of Western powers. So blatantly, Iran is being denied its right that has been given to it in the very treaty, NPT, whose pioneer signatories itself is Iran.
First appeared in Pakistan Observer on January 01, 2006